Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 10.028472 11.220076 12.507593 14.003885 15.697210 17.556602 19.756476
2025-04-27 8.420238 10.038820 11.911812 14.246345 17.087901 20.446497 24.735006
2025-05-04 7.119290 8.978084 11.264155 14.298589 18.244735 23.235259 30.076175
2025-05-11 5.938037 7.876873 10.396538 13.939113 18.836415 25.433250 35.102763
2025-05-18 5.032112 6.992014 9.671755 13.646512 19.465707 27.787436 40.794342
2025-05-25 4.321062 6.265925 9.052961 13.398489 20.113375 30.277041 47.172943
2025-06-01 3.771544 5.690106 8.562424 13.255999 20.889167 33.086833 54.607149
2025-06-08 3.335053 5.220621 8.161374 13.183845 21.758056 36.189584 63.158309
2025-06-15 3.059755 4.963250 8.051941 13.559532 23.421472 40.896906 75.488843
2025-06-22 2.734771 4.580052 7.683017 13.436690 24.198075 44.191835 85.942020
2025-06-29 2.423587 4.178923 7.228626 13.090978 24.507720 46.677943 95.364264
2025-07-06 2.180937 3.866224 6.886896 12.897750 25.069484 49.743994 106.672558
2025-07-13 2.029433 3.704202 6.806468 13.210773 26.731776 55.439887 125.323602
2025-07-20 1.901562 3.570005 6.760678 13.587683 28.603180 61.975672 147.673844
2025-07-27 1.763698 3.399170 6.621282 13.751388 30.051753 67.890141 170.170227
2025-08-03 1.599612 3.156200 6.305999 13.491053 30.504091 71.598207 188.055473
2025-08-10 1.459025 2.944274 6.027841 13.270980 31.015683 75.571953 207.848171
2025-08-17 1.336916 2.756554 5.777394 13.076559 31.558639 79.754744 229.522162
2025-08-24 1.235420 2.601144 5.577870 12.972270 32.313788 84.674719 254.966999
2025-08-31 1.148932 2.468655 5.413068 12.927661 33.220712 90.226162 284.219294
2025-09-07 1.099836 2.414299 5.420271 13.315506 35.375098 99.852028 330.301775
2025-09-14 1.023900 2.289599 5.246654 13.210080 36.133190 105.515556 364.521629
2025-09-21 0.942365 2.142893 5.002688 12.881701 36.188844 109.036954 392.160305